Market News

Windermere Chief Economist Matthew Gardner delivers his monthly Monday with Matthew video series covering the latest topics in real estate and provides his quarterly Gardner Report highlighting local market conditions in regions throughout the Western U.S.

Market News Big Island of Hawaii Real Estate Market Update Hawaii’s economy offered a mixed bag of growth in the fourth quarter of 2018. Employment declined 1.4% but the unemployment rate was a healthy 2.3%. Year-over-year, the economy has shed 9,300 jobs, and annual job gains have been negative for the past three months. On the Big Island, employment growth dropped 2.6% and has been negative for the past five months. That said, there are 85,800...
Market News Oregon and Southwest Washington Real Estate Market Update Oregon added 30,800 new jobs in 2018, representing an annual growth rate of 1.6%. Though the job growth rate norm for the past 20 years has been 2% or more, this slowdown does not concern me. It’s to be expected at this stage in the economic cycle. The Southwest Washington market (Clark, Cowlitz, Skamania, and Klickitat counties) added 6,680 new jobs over the past 12 months, which represents...
Market News Idaho Real Estate Market Update Job growth in Idaho slowed in the fall of 2018 but the state added 13,200 new jobs over the past 12 months, representing an annual growth rate of 1.8%. In November, the state unemployment rate was 2.6%, down from 3% a year ago. The state remains at full employment, which explains why we are seeing a slowdown in employment growth. I fully anticipate that the state will return to...
Market News Central Washington Real Estate Market Update The Washington State economy continues to add jobs at an above-average rate, though the pace of growth is starting to slow as the business cycle matures. Over the past 12 months, the state added 96,600 new jobs, representing an annual growth rate of 2.9% — well above the national rate of 1.7%. Private sector employment gains continue to be quite strong, increasing at an annual rate of 3.6%...
Market News Utah Real Estate Market Update Utah added 43,700 non-agricultural jobs over the past 12 months, representing a growth rate of 2.9%. For perspective, the U.S growth rate is 1.7%. Monthly employment growth in Utah has started to slow, but I attribute this to the fact that the region is essentially at full employment and it is typical to see job growth slow, especially at this stage of the business cycle. In November, the...
Market News Eastern Washington Real Estate Market Update The Washington State economy continues to add jobs at an above-average rate, though the pace of growth is starting to slow as the business cycle matures. Over the past 12 months, the state added 96,600 new jobs, representing an annual growth rate of 2.9%—well above the national rate of 1.7%. Private sector employment gains continue to be quite strong, increasing at an annual rate of 3.6%...
Market News Colorado Real Estate Market Update The Colorado economy continues to grow, adding 69,100 new non-agricultural jobs over the past 12 months, which represents a solid growth rate of 2.6%. That said, we are continuing to see a modest slowdown in employment gains, but that is to be expected at this stage of the business cycle. My latest forecast suggests that Colorado will add a total of 65,000 new jobs in 2019, representing a...
Market News Nevada Real Estate Market Update Job growth in the Las Vegas metropolitan area remains very strong. A total of 38,900 new jobs were added over the past 12 months, representing an impressive annual growth rate of 3.9%. For perspective, the U.S. as a whole is growing at around 1.7% or less than half the rate of Las Vegas. As jobs are added to the local economy, the unemployment rate is trending lower. The seasonally adjusted...
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Market News Southern California Real Estate Market Update The counties covered by this report — Los Angeles, San Diego, San Bernardino, Orange, and Riverside — added 139,000 new jobs between November 2017 and November 2018, representing an annual growth rate of 1.4%. The unemployment rate held at 4%. Employment growth in Southern California continues to slow but, as I discussed in the third quarter Gardner Report, the market is heavily affected by...
Market News Western Washington Real Estate Market Update The Washington State economy continues to add jobs at an above-average rate, though the pace of growth is starting to slow as the business cycle matures. Over the past 12 months, the state added 96,600 new jobs, representing an annual growth rate of 2.9% — well above the national rate of 1.7%. Private sector employment gains continue to be quite strong, increasing at an annual rate of 3.6%...
Market News 2019 Economic and Housing Forecast What a year it has been for both for the U.S. economy and the national housing market. After several years of above-average economic and home price growth, 2018 marked the start of a slowdown in the residential real estate market. As the year comes to a close, it’s time for me to dust off my crystal ball to see what we can expect in 2019.
Market News Montana Real Estate Market Update According to the Labor Department, Montana added 7,400 non-agricultural jobs between September 2017 and September 2018, representing an annual growth rate of 1.6%. For perspective, the U.S growth rate is about 1.7%. The state experienced pretty substantial monthly increases in employment over the last few months and I hope this will continue even as we see a slowdown in employment in the...
Market News Oregon and Southwest Washington Real Estate Market Update Oregon added 42,000 new jobs over the past 12 months, representing a very solid annual growth rate of 2.2%. In the second quarter Gardner Report, I stated that job growth in Oregon was starting to taper, but since then the state has made adjustments to figures from the last three years that now suggest job growth was stronger than originally reported. The Southwest Washington market...
Market News Idaho Real Estate Market Update Job growth in Idaho remains fairly strong. Over the past 12 months the state has added 22,000 new jobs, representing a solid growth rate of 3.1%. In August, the state unemployment rate was 2.8%, down from 3.1% a year ago. The state is, essentially, at full employment, and it appears my forecast predicting that Idaho would add just over 20,000 new jobs in 2018 will likely come true.
Market News Central Washington Real Estate Market Update Washington State continues to be one of the fastest growing states in the nation and there is little to suggest that there will be any marked slowdown in the foreseeable future. Over the past year, the state has added 105,900 new jobs, representing an annual growth rate of 3.2%. This remains well above the national rate of 1.65%. Private sector employment gains continue to be...
Market News Utah Real Estate Market Update According to the Labor Department, Utah has added 51,800 non-agricultural jobs over the past 12 months, representing a very solid growth rate of 3.5%, which makes Utah the fastest growing state in the country. For perspective, the U.S growth rate is running at 1.6%. Monthly employment gains in Utah have averaged 4,125 new jobs per month so far in 2018 and I believe we will end the calendar...
Market News Eastern Washington Real Estate Market Update Washington State continues to be one of the fastest growing states in the nation and there is little to suggest that there will be any marked slowdown in the foreseeable future. Over the past year, the state has added 105,900 new jobs, representing an annual growth rate of 3.2%. This remains well above the national rate of 1.65%. Private sector employment gains continue to be...
Market News Colorado Real Estate Market Update The Colorado economy continues to perform quite well, having added 72,200 non-agricultural jobs over the past 12 months — a solid growth rate of 2.7%. Through the first eight months of 2018, the state has added an average of 6,700 new jobs per month. There has been a modest slowdown in employment gains, but I really don’t think this is a cause for concern and still hold to my forecast that...
Market News Nevada Real Estate Market Update Job growth in the Las Vegas metropolitan area continues at a very brisk pace. A total of 32,300 new jobs were added over the past 12 months, representing a very strong annual growth rate of 3.3%. For perspective, the U.S. as a whole is growing at around 1.6%, or half the rate of Las Vegas. Even as jobs are added to the local economy, the unemployment rate is still higher than one would expect...
Market News Southern California Real Estate Market Update The counties covered by this report—Los Angeles, San Diego, San Bernardino, Orange, and Riverside—added a very modest 47,400 new jobs between August 2017 and August 2018. Even as job growth slowed, the unemployment rate dropped from 4.9% to 4.4%. Employment growth in Southern California has started to taper, due primarily to a slowing in employment gains in the large Los Angeles County market...